Matthew Stafford won the MVP after leading the NFL in passing last season. Will his stellar play continue in 2026? Check out the latest Over/Under passing yards odds for some of the top QBs heading into the season at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Aug. 10. OVER/UNDER REGULAR SEASON PASSING YARDS WHAT TO KNOW: Stafford led the league in passing yards in 2025. He recorded 4,707 passing yards, which was 143 yards more than any other quarterback in the NFL. However, the sportsbooks suggest some regression may occur as his total for 2026 is set at a much lower number. WHAT TO KNOW: Prescott threw for 4,552 yards in 2025, which was third in the NFL and the second most of his career. Because the Cowboys had one of the league's worst defenses a year ago, Prescott was forced into many pass-heavy game scripts. With an improved defense heading into 2026, Prescott may not have to throw as much. The 33-year-old QB has thrown over 4,400 yards in three of his last five seasons. WHAT TO KNOW: After a historic rookie campaign in which he threw for 3,568 yards and rushed for another 891, Daniels only played in seven games in 2025. In those games, he threw for 1,262 yards. Whether Daniels goes over or under this line will most likely come down to if he stays healthy or not. WHAT TO KNOW: Like Daniels, whether Burrow goes over or under this line depends on his health. In the three seasons he's played 16 games or more, Burrow has thrown over 4,450 yards each time. In eight games last season, Burrow threw for 1,809 yards. Injuries have limited his availability to 10 or fewer games in exactly half of his NFL seasons. WHAT TO KNOW: After only playing 13 games in 2025, Jackson finished with 2,549 passing yards. Since 2018, he has gone over the number of 3249.5 only twice (2023 and 2024). This will be Jackson's first NFL season without John Harbaugh as his head coach as Jesse Minter takes the reins in 2026. WHAT TO KNOW: Stroud threw for 3,041 yards in 2025, which was 19th in the NFL. However, he missed three games early in the season. In his rookie season, Stroud threw for 4,108 yards. Then, in 2024, he threw for 3,727 yards. The former Ohio State QB has regressed every season of his NFL career. Can he get back to his rookie year form in 2026? This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports. WHAT TO KNOW: Lawrence threw for the sixth most passing yards in the NFL last season (4,007). He has thrown over 4,000 passing yards in three of the five seasons of his career. WHAT TO KNOW: Goff threw for 4,564 passing yards, only trailing Stafford in 2025. The Lions QB has thrown for 4,438 yards or more in his last four seasons, as well as four of his five seasons since coming to Detroit. WHAT TO KNOW: After throwing for 3,541 yards in his rookie season, Williams threw for 3,942 yards in his first year under Ben Johnson. With a pass-catching group that features Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland, alongside the new additions of Kalif Raymond and Zavion Thomas, Williams has all the weapons he needs for another huge year. WHAT TO KNOW: In his rookie season in 2024, Maye started 12 games and threw for 2,276 yards. However, he took a massive leap forward in 2025. In his second NFL season, Maye threw for 4,394 yards, which was fourth in the NFL. In 2026, the Patriots QB will have another huge weapon at his disposal in A.J. Brown. WHAT TO KNOW: Last season, Allen threw for 3,668 passing yards. His 2025 passing numbers were the lowest since 2019 as Allen has gone over the projected 3,624 total every season in that span. The 2024 MVP recorded four straight seasons of 4,250 or more passing yards from 2020-2023. WHAT TO KNOW: In 16 games in 2025, Herbert threw for 3,727 yards despite playing behind an offensive line that was without Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater, two of the NFL’s best tackles, for most of the season. With both expected to return healthy and Mike McDaniel taking over as the Chargers’ offensive playcaller, Herbert is positioned for a big year. He has surpassed his projected total of 3,650.5 passing yards in five of his first six NFL seasons. WHAT TO KNOW: In 15 games last season, Love threw for 3,381 yards. The Green Bay quarterback has only gone over his projected line of 3,549.5 just once in his career. WHAT TO KNOW: Hurts threw for 3,224 yards in 2025 after finishing with just 2,903 yards in 2024. However, he easily surpassed his projected 2026 total of 3,249.5 yards in each of the previous two seasons, throwing for 3,701 yards in 2022 and 3,858 in 2023. The Eagles will have a new-look offense in 2026, with Sean Mannion taking over as offensive coordinator and a revamped receiving corps. Despite A.J. Brown’s departure, Philadelphia drafted Makai Lemon and added Dontayvion Wicks, Hollywood Brown and Elijah Moore. WHAT TO KNOW: Mayfield threw for 3,693 yards in 2025, the 10th-most in the NFL, despite his production falling off in the second half of the season as he battled multiple injuries. The Bucs lost Mike Evans this offseason, but Mayfield will still have plenty of weapons around him, including Bucky Irving, Emeka Egbuka, Chris Godwin Jr. and Jalen McMillan. Tampa Bay also added Kenneth Gainwell, who should provide another weapon out of the backfield in the passing game. WHAT TO KNOW: Shough threw for 2,384 yards in 2025, but only started nine games. If he played a full season, he would have soared over this number. Shough threw for 250+ yards in his final four games of 2025, and will now have first-round pick Jordyn Tyson as another huge weapon alongside Chris Olave. WHAT TO KNOW: Purdy threw for 2,167 yards last season, but he only played in nine games. Purdy has gone over this number in two of his first four NFL seasons, however, injuries have been a big concern throughout his career. WHAT TO KNOW: Darnold threw for 4,058 passing yards in his Super Bowl-winning 2025 season, which was fifth in the league. In his last two seasons, Darnold has thrown over 4,000 yards both times. However, before that, he only threw over 3,000 yards once in his first six NFL seasons. WHAT TO KNOW: Ward threw for 3,169 yards in his rookie season. However, his head coach got fired early in the year, and his best weapon was Calvin Ridley. Now, in 2026, Ward has QB guru Brian Daboll as his offensive coordinator, as well as a plethora of new weapons, including No. 4 overall pick Carnell Tate and Wan'Dale Robinson. WHAT TO KNOW: Young threw for 3,011 yards in 2025, the most in his NFL career so far, after throwing for 2,877 and 2,403 in his first two seasons. The Carolina offense remains nearly identical to last season, returning almost the exact same lineup of playmakers for 2026. WHAT TO KNOW: In two games as the Packers starter in 2025, Willis threw for 422 yards. Now, for the first time in his NFL career, Willis will be the starting quarterback in Week 1. The 27-year-old will lead a Dolphins offense that features star running back De’Von Achane. However, their receiving core of Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert and Tutu Atwell may provide some limitations on Willis' success in year one. WHAT TO KNOW: In 12 games as the Giants starter, Dart threw for 2,272 yards in his rookie year. However, his top weapon, Malik Nabers, tore his ACL and meniscus in Dart's first NFL start. The 23-year-old also provided major value on the ground as he rushed for 487 in 2025. However, his rushing ability is a concern for passing props, as scrambles and designed runs directly reduce his total passing volume. WHAT TO KNOW: One last dance. After many thought he would retire this past offseason, Rodgers is back and reunited with Mike McCarthy for one final season in 2026. In 16 games last season, Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards. Since 2008, Rodgers has only gone under his line of 3149.5 once, in 2017, the year he missed nine games with a fractured collarbone. WHAT TO KNOW: Nix threw for 3,931 yards in 2025, the ninth-most in the NFL, after throwing for 3,775 yards as a rookie in 2024, showing that his success last season was no fluke. After suffering a broken right ankle in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, Nix is expected to be fully healthy for Week 1. He will also have another major weapon at his disposal in Jaylen Waddle, giving Denver’s passing attack an added boost in 2026.
